Tyler and Craig review the “Value Factor” for our second installment of the fundamental factors of investing. In the investment industry there are various definitions of the value factor, but one description refers to the value factor as the factor that aims to capture excess returns from stocks that have low prices relative to their fundamental value. This is commonly tracked by price to book, price to earnings, dividends, and free cash flow. Historically it is the price to book valuation method that is most often cited for value investing. With low price to book being classified as a value stock. Price to book simply compares the company’s accounting book value or net assets relative to the market capitalization.
We review how LVM uses the value factor in finding attractive investments including relative valuation methods such as price to earnings and absolute valuations such as the discounted cash flow method. Craig reviews some common pitfalls investors come across when analyzing the value factor and discusses some of the historical return studies on value versus growth. Craig references the charts below which show different periods of value versus growth.
The first chart below shows value outperforming growth since the inception of the Russell 1000 growth and value ETFs in June of 2000. With value returning 341.5% and growth returning 246.1%.
However, over the past 10 years growth has outperformed value with growth returning 274% and value returning 165.8%. Year-to-date ending October 31st, value has outperformed growth with value down 9.47% and Growth down 26.74%.
We end with a discussion on current market valuations versus historical averages and reference the charts below. The median price to earnings on the S&P 500 is 16.4x which is slightly below its 25-year average of 16.9x. The S&P 500 dividend yield is 1.9% versus its 25-year average of 2% and the price to book valuation on the S&P 500 is 3.2x versus the 25-year average of 3.1x.